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World New Round Up for February 19, 2016

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Turkey’s prime minister, Ahmet Davutoglu said there is clear evidence that the Syrian Kurdish militia, the YPG was responsible for Wednesday’s suicide attack in Ankara that left 28 people dead. Davutoglu has vowed to retaliate in both Iraq and Syria. [Reuters’ Ercan Gurses and Humeyra Pamuk]

Officials identified the suicide bomber as Saleh Najjar, a Syrian refugee who registered in Turkey in mid-2014. [Wall Street Journal’s Dion Nissenbaum et al] Turkish authorities have arrested 14 people in connection to the attack, as a YPG leader denied involvement. [NPR’s Bill Chappell]

Davutoglu also directed a warning at Russia, saying in a televised address that: “If these terror attacks continue, they will be as responsible as the YPG.” Moscow denies any link to terrorism related activities. [Financial Times’ Mehul Srivastava and Funja Guler] 

The United States was quick to condemn the attack and express support for Turkey but cautioned against prematurely attributing responsibility to the Kurdish militia. [New York Times’ Tim Arango and Ceylan Yeginsu]

Turkey’s foreign minister has today accused the US of making a “mistake” by relying on “groups like the YPG” in the fight against ISIS, saying that above all it is a “sign of weakness.” [Reuters]

IRAQ and SYRIA

Comments by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad “do not chime with the diplomatic efforts that Russia is undertaking,” said Moscow’s envoy to the UN, commenting on a statement from Assad in which he said that he intended to re-establish control over all of Syria. [Reuters]

Turkey and Saudi Arabia are considering heightened intervention in Syria, though both are “deeply wary of acting without US consent” while at the same time are “angry at what they see as a US failure to take a more muscular stance” against Russia, report Sam Jones et al for the Financial Times.

Moscow agreed to an American request not to target US special operations forces in northern Syria, the Pentagon revealed yesterday, a previously undisclosed cooperation between the two nations. [The Hill’s Kristina Wong] 

Tensions between the US and Turkey, heightened now in light of Wednesday’s attack in Ankara, threaten to “jeopardize their alliance in the Syria conflict,” writes Rick Gladstone, providing a Q&A on the dynamic between the US, Turkey and the Kurds. [New York Times]

More than 20 Iraqi civilians have lost their lives in two airstrikes targeting ISIS-held towns in Anbar province, sources say. It was not immediately clear whether the strikes were conducted by the US-led coalition. [Al Jazeera] 

US-led airstrikes continue. The US and coalition military forces carried out seven airstrikes against Islamic State targets in Syria on Feb. 17. Separately, partner forces conducted a further 12 strikes on targets in Iraq. [Central Command]

“In the Syrian nightmare, even small steps forward are notable.” David Ignatius explains why now is a “critical moment” in the civil conflict, concluding that it is “never too late for the United States to do the right thing – which is to build, carefully, the political and military framework for a new Syria.” [Washington Post]

The Economist writes: “Syria is a nasty complex of wars within a war,” describing the “perils of inaction” and setting out steps which the west ought to take now.

SURVEILLANCE, PRIVACY and TECHNOLOGY

Facebook and Twitter have pledged to “stand with Apple” and “aggressively fight” attempts to weaken encryption, as the tech company’s battle with the FBI continues. [The Guardian’s Danny Yadron]

Apple’s decision to defy the court order to unlock the phone of one of the San Bernardino shooters “was over a year in the making,” report Matt Apuzzo et al, citing a drug case in a Brooklyn federal court last year which marked a shift in the tech company’s policy on assisting law enforcement to unlock phones. [New York Times]

Further, Apple had for weeks been refusing the FBI’s requests that it unlock the phone of Syed Rizwan Farook, with the Justice Department going as far as considering filing court papers against the tech giant. [Wall Street Journal’s Devlin Barrett and Daisuke Wakabayashi]

Neither Democratic presidential candidate will pick a side between the FBI and Apple, both Sanders and Clinton attempting to occupy a middle ground, one which Jenna McLaughlin argues doesn’t really exist, at The Intercept.

“We are a country of laws, and this charade has gone on long enough,” writes Senate Intelligence Committee chairman, Richard Burr in an op-ed at USA Today expressing concern that they are not permitted to act above the law.

The media weighs in. The New York Times editorial board makes the case for “why Apple is right to challenge” the court ruling ordering it to assist the FBI, citing the “Constitution and the nation’s laws” which “limit how investigators and prosecutors can collect evidence.” The Wall Street Journal editorial board suggests that “the reality seems to be more complicated than either Mr Cook or the FBI allow,” concluding that a “mature democracy – if America still is one – ought to be able to work out these crucial matters of national security through legislative deliberation.” And the Washington Post editorial board expresses hope that “Apple will fight … hard to safeguard its users’ privacy from authoritarian abuse.”

“Crime, iPhones and encryption.” The New York Times “Room for Debate” asks whether tech companies should provide access to law enforcement where a crime has been committed.

SOUTH CHINA SEA

Australia and New Zealand have urged China to avoid further exacerbating tensions among those countries disputing sovereignty in the South China Sea. Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull stated that “it is absolutely critical that we ensure that there is a lowering of tensions.” [Reuters’ Colin Packham]

The New York Times editorial board situates China’s decision to place missiles on a disputed island in the South China Sea in the context of a “series of provocative acts that is fueling regional tensions.” While, in theory, defense of its naval bases 273 miles away on Hainan Island would be a legitimate reason for the missiles, the timing of the deployment, and the way it was done, makes it “impossible to blindly accept” this rationale.

RUSSIA

Russia’s next strike could be “anywhere in the world.” Poland’s foreign affairs adviser, Krzysztof Szczerski, has warned. He told Patrick Wintour that Russia’s intervention in Syria demonstrates that it has the capability of transporting large amounts of military equipment at speed while remaining undetected, allowing it to set “new challenging fronts around the world.” [The Guardian]

Islamic State is focusing activity in the Northern Caucases, reports Anna Nemtsova, recruiting from the local population and “exacting retribution for what happens on the faraway battlefields of Syria.” [The Daily Beast]

PARIS ATTACKS

Confirmation that video footage depicting a senior Belgian nuclear official was recovered from a Paris suspect has sparked uproar among lawmakers, who are protesting that they and the rest of the country have been misled about the extent of the threat to nuclear facilities and the ambitions of those responsible for the attacks. [New York Times]

A main suspect wanted in connection with the Paris attacks successfully hid inside an apartment in Brussels for three weeks, those investigating have reportedly confirmed. [Reuters]

Encryption assisted the Paris attackers to hide from authorities in the run-up to their November assault, director of the NSA, Michael Rogers has said. [The Hill’s Cory Bennett]

AFGHANISTAN

Afghan security forces raided a hospital in Wardak province, Afghanistan on Wednesday night, killing three. There are reports that NATO advisers may have taken part in the attack, which is being presented as a violation of humanitarian law. [New York Times’ Mujib Mashal; Washington Post’s Tim Craig and Sayed Salahuddin]

Five Red Cross staff members have been kidnapped by an armed group while travelling in the Afghan province of Ghazni. The Red Cross has confirmed that it has halted operations there and is working to secure the release of its employees. [Reuters]

ISRAEL and PALESTINE

Two teenage Palestinians have fatally stabbed an Israeli soldier and wounded another man in an Israeli supermarket in the West Bank. Civilians subsequently shot the attackers, wounding them. The incident comes just after Israel’s top general addressed Israeli students on the issue of the appropriate degree of force to use in confrontations with Palestinian attackers. [New York Times’ Isabel Kershner]

Violence between Israel and Palestine is showing “no sign of relenting,” according to the UN, urging both sides to act to shape the future of their relations. [UN News Centre]

Bill Clinton has lent his voice to his wife’s promise to give “even greater support” to Israel if she is elected, meeting secretly with leaders of South Florida’s Jewish community on Monday. [The Intercept’s Glenn Greenwald]

NORTH KOREA

President Obama has approved new sanctions against North Korea after the Senate’s unanimous approval of the bill last week. The new measures are supposed to cut off money that North Korea needs to develop its nuclear weapons technology. [AP; BBC]

US and South Korean fighter jets flew alongside each other on Thursday, in what the Department of Defense said was a show of the nations’ collective capability to maintain stability on the Korean Peninsula in the face of recent provocations by North Korea. The importance of US-South Korea coordination in responding to North Korea was reaffirmed during the discussions between Deputy Secretary Antony Blinken and North Korea’s Deputy National Security Advisor, in Washington, said the Department of State.

OTHER DEVEVLOPMENTS

More than 30 Islamic State militants have been killed in a US air strike near Sabratha, west of Tripoli, Libya. Many of those killed are believed to have been involved in two major terrorist attacks in Tunisia last year, including Noureddine Chouchane, a “major facilitator” for  the Islamic State, although reports of his death are yet to be confirmed. [New York Times’ Eric Schmitt and Declan Walsh]

Scenes from the Hollywood movie “Zero Dark Thirty” have been screened at the 9/11 pre-trial hearings at Guantánamo Bay’s Camp Justice. Defense lawyers are arguing that the CIA gave more access to evidence to filmmakers than it did to lawyers involved in the case. [Miami Herald’s Carol Rosenberg]

“Significant breakthroughs.” The head of the House Benghazi Committee reports “enormous progress” in its investigation into the terrorist attacks on a US Compound in Benghazi, Libya, in 2012, following interviews with top governmental officials this month. [The Hill’s Julian Hattem]

The US Marines has placed tanks, artillery and logistic equipment inside caves in Norway as it stations itself close to the NATO-Russia frontier. Colonel William Bentley has stated that the intention in doing this is to reduce cost and speed up the Marines’ “ability to support operations in crisis, so we’re able to fall in on gear that is ready-to-go and respond to whatever that crisis may be.” [CNN’s Ryan Browne]

A UN Mission in South Sudan has been burned to the ground following an eruption of violence there on Wednesday evening, which continued overnight and has resulted in the deaths of at least 18 people. [The Daily Beast’s Justin Lynch; CNN’s Catherine E Shoichet and Pierre Meilhan]  UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon has condemned the attack and urged all parties to abstain from any actions or comments which could cause the situation to escalate. [UN News Centre]

Kenya’s military claims to have killed the head of intelligence of al-Shabaab in an airstrike in Nadris camp in south Somalia, ten days ago. Al-Shabaab denies the death. [AP]

Egyptian human rights organization, the El Nadeem Center for Rehabilitation of Victims of Violence, is to challenge the government’s “politically motivated” decision to shut it down, intending to begin its resistance with “a lawsuit in the administrative court.” [Wall Street Journal’s Dahlia Kholaif]

Cultivating “a generation of school-age militants.” Islamic State’s newest “shock tactic” is to use children on suicide missions, reports Greg Miller. [Washington Post]  At least 89 children were killed in the year up to January 2016, a report published by the Combatting Terrorism Center at West Point’s CTC Sentinel has confirmed. [The Daily Beast’s Katie Zavaski]

“Terror disruptions.” Jenna McLaughlin reports on the FBI’s new categorization of its own performance measures, which she suggests is vague, lacks transparency and appears to be an attempt to wrongly suggest that the FBI is exceeding expectations in the fight against terror. [The Intercept]

Following the release of the National Commission on the Future of the US Army’s report on Jan 29, Andrew F Krepinevich mourns the Army’s “declining ability to wage the kind of protracted irregular wars that America’s enemies increasingly prefer to fight,” a problem he says has its origins in the post-Vietnam war decision to drop the draft. [Wall Street Journal]

By Nadia O’Mara and Zoë Chapman

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Marine Le Pen’s National Rally Wins the First Round in France 2024 Election

Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) party scored historic gains in France

Exit polls in France showed that Marine Le Pen’s right-wing National Rally (RN) party made huge gains to win the first round of election on Sunday. However, the final outcome will depend on how people trade votes in the days before next week’s run-off.

Exit polls from Ipsos, Ifop, OpinionWay, and Elabe showed that the RN got about 34% of the vote. This was a big loss for President Emmanuel Macron, who called the early election after his party lost badly in the European Parliament elections earlier this month.

The National Rally (RN) easily won more votes than its opponents on the left and center, including Macron’s Together group, whose bloc was predicted to get 20.5% to 23% of the vote. Exit polls showed that the New Popular Front (NFP), a hastily put together left-wing alliance, would get about 29% of the vote.

The results of the exit polls matched what people said in polls before the election, which made Le Pen’s fans very happy. But they didn’t say for sure if the anti-immigrant, anti-EU National Rally (RN) will be able to “cohabit” with the pro-EU Macron in a government after the runoff election next Sunday.

Voters in France Angry at Macron

Many French people have looked down on the National Rally (RN) for a long time, but now it is closer to power than it has ever been. A party known for racism and antisemitism has tried to clean up its image, and it has worked. Voters are angry at Macron, the high cost of living, and rising concerns about immigration.

Fans of Marine Le Pen waved French flags and sang the Marseillaise in the northern French district of Henin-Beaumont. The crowd cheered as Le Pen said, “The French have shown they are ready to turn the page on a power that is disrespectful and destructive.”

The National Rally’s chances of taking power next week will rest on what political deals its opponents make in the next few days. Right-wing and left-wing parties used to work together to keep the National Rally (RN) out of power, but the “republican front,” which refers to this group, is less stable than ever.

If no candidate gets 50% of the vote in the first round, the top two candidates and anyone else with 12.5% of the registered voters immediately move on to the second round. The district goes to the person who gets the most votes in the runoff.

France is likely to have a record number of three-way runoffs because so many people voted on Sunday. Experts say that these are much better for the National Rally (RN) than two-way games. Almost right away on Sunday night, the horse trade began.

Macron asked people to support candidates who are “clearly republican and democratic.” Based on what he has said recently, this would rule out candidates from the National Rally (RN) and the hard-left France Unbowed (LFI) party. Leaders on the far left and the center left both asked their third-placed candidates to drop out.

Minority government

Jean-Luc Melenchon, leader of France Unbowed, said, “Our rule is simple and clear: not a single more vote for the National Rally.” But the center-right Republicans party, which split before the vote when some of its members joined the RN, didn’t say anything.

The president of the RN party, Jordan Bardella, who is 28 years old, said he was ready to be prime minister if his party gets a majority of seats. He has said he won’t try to make a minority government, and neither Macron nor the communist NFP will work with him.

“I will be a “cohabitation” Prime Minister, respectful of the constitution and of the office of President of the Republic, but uncompromising about the policies we will implement,” he said.

A few thousand anti-RN protesters met in Paris’s Republique square on Sunday night for a rally of the leftist alliance. The mood was gloomy.

Niya Khaldi, a 33-year-old teacher, said that the RN’s good results made her feel “disgust, sadness, and fear.”

“This is not how I normally act,” she said. “I think I came to reassure myself, to not feel alone.”

Election Runoff

The result on Sunday didn’t have much of an effect on the market. In early Asia-Pacific trade, the euro gained about 0.23%. Fiona Cincotta, a senior markets expert at City Index in London, said she was glad the outcome “didn’t come as a surprise.”

“Le Pen had a slightly smaller margin than some of the polls had pointed to, which may have helped the euro a little bit higher on the open,” she noted. “Now everyone is waiting for July 7 to see if the second round supports a clear majority or not. So it does feel like we’re on the edge of something.”

Some pollsters thought the RN would win the most seats in the National Assembly, but Elabe was the only one who thought the party would win all 289 seats in the run-off. Seat projections made after the first round of voting are often very wrong, and this race is no exception.

On Sunday night, Reuters reported there were no final results for the whole country yet, but they were due in the next few hours. In France, exit polls have usually been very accurate.

Voter turnout was high compared to previous parliamentary elections. This shows how passionate people are about politics after Macron made the shocking and politically risky decision to call a vote in parliament.

Mathieu Gallard, research head at Ipsos France, said that at 1500 GMT, nearly 60% of voters had turned out, up from 39.42% two years earlier. This was the highest comparable turnout since the 1986 legislative vote. It wasn’t clear when the official number of people who voted would be changed.

 

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Pakistan Seeks US Support for Counter-Terrorism Operation Azm-e-Istehkam

Pakistan

(CTN News) – Pakistan’s Ambassador to the United States, Masood Khan, has urged Washington to provide Pakistan with sophisticated small arms and communication equipment to ensure the success of Operation Azm-e-Istehkam, a newly approved counter-terrorism initiative in the country.

The federal government recently approved the reinvigorated national counter-terrorism drive, which comprises three components: doctrinal, societal, and operational.

Ambassador Khan noted that work on the first two phases has already begun, with the third phase set to be implemented soon.

Addressing US policymakers, scholars, and corporate leaders at the Wilson Center in Washington, Khan emphasized the importance of strong security links, enhanced intelligence cooperation, and the resumption of sales of advanced military platforms between Pakistan and the US.

He argued that this is crucial for regional security and countering the rising tide of terrorism, which also threatens the interests of the US and its allies.

“Pakistan has launched Azm-i-Istehkam […] to oppose and dismantle terrorist networks. For that, we need sophisticated small arms and communication equipment,” said Ambassador Khan.

Pakistan–United States relations

The ambassador observed that the prospects of Pakistan-United States relations were bright, stating that the two countries “share values, our security and economic interests are interwoven, and it is the aspiration of our two peoples that strengthens our ties.”

He invited US investors and businesses to explore Pakistan’s potential in terms of demographic dividend, technological advancements, and market opportunities.

Khan also suggested that the US should consider Pakistan as a partner in its diplomatic efforts in Kabul and collaborate on counterterrorism and the rights of women and girls in Afghanistan.

He stressed that the bilateral relationship should be based on ground realities and not be hindered by a few issues.

“We should not base our engagement on the incongruity of expectations.

Our ties should be anchored in ground realities, even as we aim for stronger security and economic partnerships. Secondly, one or two issues should not hold the entire relationship hostage,” said the ambassador.

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China Urges Taiwanese to Visit Mainland ‘Without Worry’ Despite Execution Threat

China Urges Taiwanese to Visit Mainland Without Worry Despite Threats

China has reassured Taiwanese citizens that they can visit the mainland “without the slightest worry”, despite Taiwan raising its travel alert to the second-highest level in response to Beijing’s new judicial guidelines targeting supporters of Taiwanese independence.

Last week, China published guidelines that could impose the death penalty for “particularly serious” cases involving “diehard” advocates of Taiwanese independence.

In response, Taiwan’s government urged the public to avoid “unnecessary travel” to mainland China and Hong Kong, and raised its travel warning to the “orange” level.

However, Zhu Fenglian, a spokeswoman for a Chinese body overseeing Taiwan affairs, stated that the new directives are “aimed solely at the very small number of supporters of ‘Taiwan independence’, who are engaged in malicious acts and utterances”.

She emphasized that “the vast majority of Taiwan compatriots involved in cross-strait exchanges and cooperation do not need to have the slightest worry when they come to or leave mainland China”.

“They can arrive in high spirits and leave fully satisfied with their stay,” Zhu added.

What’s Behind The China-Taiwan Tensions?

The tensions stem from the longstanding dispute over Taiwan’s status. Mainland China claims Taiwan as part of its territory and has refused to rule out using force to bring the democratic island under its control, while Taiwan sees itself as a sovereign state.

Beijing has not conducted top-level communications with Taipei since 2016, when the Democratic Progressive Party’s Tsai Ing-wen became Taiwan’s leader. China has since branded her successor, President Lai Ching-te, a “dangerous separatist”.

“The DPP authorities have fabricated excuses to deceive the people on the island and incite confrontation and opposition,” Zhu said in her statement.
Despite the political tensions, many Taiwanese continue to travel to mainland China for work, study, or business.

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