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The S&P 500 Futures: YES or No?

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The S&P 500 futures: yES or No?

The S&P 500 futures (ES) is a much more liquid market than oil (CL), Gold (GC), Euro (6E) futures, which are also incredibly popular among traders.

However, the average daily trading volume for ES futures is 1.5 million contracts – which is an impressive number.

It also has a high throughput for a wide variety of trading strategies and deposit sizes. Therefore, it is worth taking a closer look at trading these derivatives.

The S&P 500 stock index is a basket of 505 shares of 500 large-cap public companies that are traded on the American stock exchanges NYSE, Nasdaq. Large-cap companies are companies with a market value of shares in excess of 10 billion dollars.

Among the 500 companies included in the index, 5 companies have issued two types of shares. For this reason, the number of shares in the index is 505.

ES is a derivative asset for the index and allows you to conduct speculative transactions or hedge positions.

And even taking into account the news factor, which always strongly influences futures, many traders prefer to trade with it.

The news background is tracked thanks to the economic calendar, and the actual analysis, respectively, is carried out on the chart.

Considering that American companies have been growing steadily lately, ES reflects this growth and seeks to refresh the January high of 4200. In fact, it is in a resistance zone that has been holding for almost a whole year.

As can be seen above, in August 2022 there was a false breakout and on November 13, 2022 the price dropped to that of November 2020. From the moment of this fall, a cyclical growth began.

It is important to remember that the index itself reflects the health of the United States economy. Therefore, it is highly liquid. Due to the huge trading volumes and good volatility, you can earn on these futures within one day.

But be always aware of the risks. And unlike stocks, ES contracts are traded at any time of the day or night, from mid-Sunday to mid-Friday.

So, with a high probability, the price will break through the aforementioned resistance. If this happens in the near future, then a rollback to the support level would be a good opportunity to enter a buy trade.

In another case, we will not see a quick breakout, and then buyers will have no choice but to let the price fall to the 4000 area.

There you can find the POC of the range of the current horizontal movement in the Volume Profile. As well as the 200-day MA, which is a current support.

Also, you can apply the 50-day MA to determine the nearest support for intraday trading. It is located in the area of 4050 and coincides with the mirror level 4050-4080, which previously acted as resistance. This combination may even be more successful than MA200 and POC.

To reduce risks, it is better still to note the possibility of a rollback to support, rather than a quick upward breakout.

Buying or selling at the current price can be quite risky, as any news can have a detrimental effect on the deposit size. And so it is always possible to set pending orders and cancel them if necessary.

In addition, on the 4-hour chart, the RSI indicator shows a bearish divergence. And although the line is not above 70, the sell signal can be confirmed and the price will fall.

It is also worth considering the factor of volumes, which have been steadily declining since March 13.

We are now in the middle of the current futures contract cycle, and such a decrease may indicate that resistance testing is taking place without the participation of major market players.

It can be concluded that the vast majority of investors have begun the active phase of rebalancing their investment portfolios.

In the second half of the cycle, we can assume an increase in volumes and the number of transactions that will reach a peak by the time of expiration.

It is important to remember that volumes always increase towards the end of the contract, as many traders liquidate their positions, which can become an impulse and give room for maneuver to accelerate the market.

Globally, it can be said that the price is in a protracted correction and tends to get out of it. By using the Fib Retracement tool, you can easily confirm all previously determined levels.

The current resistance coincides with the 0.5 level, which has probably already been tested, but it is worth allowing a potential false breakout.

As well as support at 0.382, which, although it has been repeatedly tested, remains relevant to this day. The next target for buyers in the 4300 area, where the high remained after the increase in August 2022, coincides with 0.618.

In conclusion, it is worth turning back to the news background and following the events on the economic calendar even more carefully.

Investors are gearing up for a tough week of corporate results and comments from Federal Reserve officials that could provide more information on interest rate changes.

More reports are expected this week from major US banks, including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America Corp and Morgan Stanley. Other companies due to report this week include Johnson & Johnson, Tesla, and Netflix.

In addition, US Treasury yields rose on Monday, and the Fed is expected to speak later in the week. Investors, judging by the decrease in volumes, seem to be in waiting mode.

Markets will continue to monitor corporate profits, economic data, and comments from Federal Reserve officials.

With thorough analysis, you can always be ready for any outcome of events. The combination of technical and fundamental factors suggests that a quick breakout, although likely, is still less probable than another long sideways movement and a fall towards supports.

At the end of the day, only the news will be the final factor for planning transactions. In any case, it is worth monitoring the situation carefully because the next battle is almost upon us.

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PepsiCo Reduces Revenue Projections As North American Snacks And Key International Markets Underperform.

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(VOR News) – In the third quarter of this year, Pepsi’s net income was $2.93 billion, which is equivalent to $2.13 per share. This was attributed to the company.

This is in stark contrast to net income of $3.09 billion, which is equivalent to $2.24 per share, during the same period in the previous year. The company’s earnings per share were $2.31 when expenses were excluded.

Net sales decreased by 0.6%, totaling $23.32 billion. Organic sales increased by 1.3% during the quarter when the effects of acquisitions, divestitures, and currency changes are excluded.

Pepsi’s beverage sales fell this quarter.

The most recent report indicates that the beverage and food sectors of the organization experienced a 2% decline in volume. Consumers of all income levels are demonstrating a change in their purchasing habits, as indicated by CEOs’ statements from the previous quarter.

Pepsi’s entire volume was adversely affected by the lackluster demand they encountered in North America. An increasing number of Americans are becoming more frugal, reducing the number of snacks they ingest, and reducing the number of times they purchase at convenience stores.

Furthermore, Laguarta observed that the increase in sales was partially attributed to the election that occurred in Mexico during the month of June.

The most significant decrease in volume was experienced by Quaker Foods North America, which was 13%. In December, the company announced its initial recall in response to a potential salmonella infection.

Due to the probability of an illness, the recall was extended in January. Pepsi officially closed a plant that was implicated in the recalls in June, despite the fact that manufacturing had already been halted.

Jamie Caulfield, the Chief Financial Officer of Pepsi and Laguarta, has indicated that the recalls are beginning to have a lessening effect.

Frito-Lay experienced a 1.5% decline in volume in North America. The company has been striving to improve the value it offers to consumers and the accessibility of its snack line, which includes SunChips, Cheetos, and Stacy’s pita chips, in the retail establishments where it is sold.

Despite the fact that the category as a whole has slowed down in comparison to the results of previous years, the level of activity within the division is progressively increasing.

Pepsi executives issued a statement in which they stated that “Salty and savory snacks have underperformed year-to-date after outperforming packaged food categories in previous years.”

Pepsi will spend more on Doritos and Tostitos in the fall and winter before football season.

The company is currently promoting incentive packets for Tostitos and Ruffles, which contain twenty percent more chips than the standard package.

Pepsi is expanding its product line in order to more effectively target individuals who are health-conscious. The business announced its intention to acquire Siete Foods for a total of $1.2 billion approximately one week ago. The restaurant serves Mexican-American cuisine, which is typically modified to meet the dietary needs of a diverse clientele.

The beverage segment of Pepsi in North America experienced a three percent decrease in volume. Despite the fact that the demand for energy drinks, such as Pepsi’s Rockstar, has decreased as a result of consumers visiting convenience stores, the sales of well-known brands such as Gatorade and Pepsi have seen an increase throughout the quarter.

Laguarta expressed his opinion to the analysts during the company’s conference call, asserting, “I am of the opinion that it is a component of the economic cycle that we are currently experiencing, and that it will reverse itself in the future, once consumers feel better.”

Additionally, it has been noted that the food and beverage markets of South Asia, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa have experienced a decline in sales volume. The company cut its forecast for organic revenue for the entire year on Tuesday due to the business’s second consecutive quarter of lower-than-anticipated sales.

The company’s performance during the quarter was adversely affected by the Quaker Foods North America recalls, the decrease in demand in the United States, and the interruptions that occurred in specific international markets, as per the statements made by Chief Executive Officer Ramon Laguarta.

Pepsi has revised its forecast for organic sales in 2024, shifting from a 4% growth rate to a low single-digit growth rate. The company reiterated its expectation that the core constant currency profitability per share will increase by a minimum of 8% in comparison to the previous year.

The company’s shares declined by less than one percent during premarket trading. The following discrepancies between the company’s report and the projections of Wall Street were identified by LSEG in a survey of analysts:

SOURCE: CNBC

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Old National Bank And Infosys Broaden Their Strategic Partnership.

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Old National Bank And Infosys Broaden Their Strategic Partnership.

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Infosys

(VOR News) – Old National Bank, a commercial bank with its headquarters in the Midwest, and Infosys, a firm that specializes in information technology, have recently entered into a strategic expansion of their link, which has been in place for the past four years.

This expansion is more likely to take place sooner rather than later, with the likelihood being higher.

For the purpose of making it possible for Old National Bank to make use of the services, solutions, and platforms that are offered by Infosys, the objective of this expansion is to make it possible for the bank to transform its operations and processes through the application of automation and GenAI, as well as to change significant business areas.

This lets the bank leverage Infosys’ services, solutions, and platforms.

Old National Bank Chairman and CEO Jim Ryan said, “At Old National, we are committed to creating exceptional experiences for both our customers and our fellow employees.”

This statement is applicable to Old National Bank. Infosys is carefully managing the business process innovations that it is putting us through, putting a strong emphasis on efficiency and value growth throughout the process to ensure that it is carried out efficiently.

This is a routine occurrence throughout the entire operation. Because of Infosys’ dedication to our development and success, we are incredibly appreciative of the assistance they have provided.

Old National has been receiving assistance from Infosys in the process of updating its digital environment since the year 2020, according to the aforementioned company.

Ever since that time, the company has been providing assistance. The provision of this assistance has been accomplished through the utilization of a model that is not only powerful but also capable of functioning on its own power.

Infosys currently ranks Old National thirty-first out of the top thirty US banks.

This ranking is based on the fact that Old National is the nation’s largest banking corporation.

It is estimated that the total value of the company’s assets is approximately fifty-three billion dollars, while the assets that are currently being managed by the organization are valued at thirty billion dollars.

Dennis Gada, the Executive Vice President and Global Head of Banking and Financial Services, stated that “Old National Bank and Infosys possess a robust cultural and strategic alignment in the development, management, and enhancement of enterprise-scale solutions to transform the bank’s operations and facilitate growth.”

This remark referenced the exceptional cultural and strategic synergy between the two organizations. Dennis Gada is the one who asserted this claim. This was articulated explicitly concerning the exceptional cultural congruence and strategy alignment of the two organizations.

We are pleased to announce that the implementation of Infosys Topaz will substantially expedite the transformation of Old National Bank’s business processes and customer service protocols. We are exceedingly enthusiastic about this matter. We are quite thrilled about this specific component of the scenario.

Medium-sized banks operating regionally will continue to benefit from our substantial expertise in the sector, technology, and operations. This specific market segment of Infosys will persist in benefiting from our extensive experience. This phenomenon will enable this market sector to sustain substantial growth and efficiency benefits.

SOURCE: THBL

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American Water, The Largest Water Utility In US, Is Targeted By A Cyberattack

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water

The largest regulated water and wastewater utility company in the United States stated Monday that it had been the target of a cyberattack, forcing the company to halt invoicing to consumers.

water

American Water, The Largest Water Utility In US, Is Targeted By A Cyberattack

American Water, based in New Jersey and serving over 14 million people in 14 states and 18 military facilities, said it learned of the unauthorized activity on Thursday and quickly took precautions, including shutting down certain systems. The business does not believe the attack had an impact on its facilities or operations and said employees were working “around the clock” to determine the origin and scale of the attack.

water

The corporation stated that it has alerted legal enforcement and is cooperating with them. It also stated that consumers will not be charged late fees while its systems are unavailable.

According to their website, American Water operates over 500 water and wastewater systems in around 1,700 communities across California, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Missouri, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia.

SOURCE | AP

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